I’m not a paranoid man, though I’m sure lots of people say that I am. And I don’t like conspiracy theories, except I’ve got some sentimental affection for the ones that allow people to say, “…and that’s why we have to live in this underground shelter for thirty to forty years.” Especially when the speaker is some sort of eccentric-looking lab coat-clad scientist and the person he is speaking to is a girls’ college volleyball team and they’re all in black-and-white and at least one of the volleyball-playing women bites her fist in apprehension upon hearing that news. Those are all right, I guess.
So, with very few exceptions, not a conspiracy guy.
But when I look at this lead sentence…
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic candidates have a big edge on Republicans one month before elections to decide control of Congress, a flurry of new polls said on Monday, with ratings for President George W. Bush and Congress dropping after the Capitol Hill sex scandal.
…well, you kind of have to think that if you ever were going to be the paranoid type and the kind of person who indulges in non-fallout-shelter-and-coed-related conspiracy theories… well, this next month would be the time to do it.
Right now the Republican leadership is looking at a situation that has suddenly gone from “We just gotta stay the course, only harder!” to “Dear God, somebody DO something!” Anybody who understands story structure knows that this means we’re just a few days away from someone saying, “It’s crazy, but it just might work!” and someone replying, “It better, it’s our only chance!” These sentences will be uttered deep underground in some think tank/lair, and they will set in motion a complicated machinery that will, above ground, lead to…
… I don’t know what. And frankly I don’t even know “if,” not really. But it seems reasonable, and at this point I’d be genuinely surprised if there wasn’t an October Surprise from the party in charge. And probably a really big one, a big crazy one, like some brain-dead woman being cloned and then euthanized by a married gay doctor aboard a swift boat owned by the atheist Senator Blowjob (D., Some Northeast State). Something big like that.
Again, I can’t predict the future (the insurance costs these days just made it impractical). But you might be able to. Feel free to Predict the Surprise in the comments below. It’s our most exciting contest yet, and the winner wins the right to tell his or her friends, “This outrageous and depressingly successful political gambit sucks in the exact way that I predicted it would.”
Not our best prize, maybe. But a great contest nonetheless. Enjoy!





83 comments
cooper
October 10, 2006 at 4:42 am
1How about a deranged dear leader of a deranged state of malnourished citizens who worship him as a god, but not really, because the concept of a devine being is forbidden, unless of course, it is the dear leader himself, which is okay. And these citizens love their dear leader so much they say “Please take my food and my children’s food and buy that weapon of mass destruction which will catapult our country’s prestige past that of Uraguay, Botswana, and Pago Pago and time the demonstration of this WMD before the midterm elections in a nation of great self importance, so that the fearmongering second in command can slip his hand up, inside the back of the coat of the first in command and pull the strings of the first in command so that that he will say things to his citizens that will make them be afraid, be very afraid, and then go out on election day and vote to support the party of the first and second in command, so that the citizens of this self important country may continue to enjoy the tasty exhileration of constant fear. Or use the money to by more porn. Your call, dear leader.”
dee
October 10, 2006 at 4:56 am
2Oh, cooper — now your fiction’s gone too far!
Thanks to a dedicated group of savvy cyberspace detectives, it will be revealed that the IM’s sent to “pages” by ex-Rep. Foley were actually intercepted and answered by a group of George Soros funded middle-aged Democrats intent on exposing the representative’s sexual orientation. The Republican party, with its long history of embracing diversity and welcoming gays, will benefit from the backlash against this scheme as the 0.03% of the undecided voters who didn’t know about Foley before and are sickened by this display of typical liberal intolerance, the will rush to the voting booths on Nov 7 and vote straight (so to speak) Republican.
Elf Eye
October 10, 2006 at 7:43 am
3My fellow Americans, I’m pleased to tell you today that I’ve signed legislation that will outlaw Korea forever. We begin bombing in five minutes. Oh, yeah, we begin bombing Iran in ten.
JOHN MURPHY
October 10, 2006 at 7:59 am
4Sorry folks but I don’t thing that anyone can top this for an October surprise.
The second coming of Christ is George W. Bush.
Watch for the exclusive on Fox news.
Kip W
October 10, 2006 at 9:24 am
5Bush will admit to a mistake of some sort. Like, he said his favorite color was yellow, and it’s really orange. His candor will cause his “regular guy” factor to rise just enough to make outcomes in contested states fall within “the limits of Diebold.”
Doc Nagel
October 10, 2006 at 9:57 am
6Within a week, the Bush Administration will appoint a loyal campaign donor to head the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency, and only crazed lefty bloggers will notice. But then, on November second…
Two large, unusually late, and very oddly moving hurricanes will wipe out the electrical grids on both coasts, and flood offices of boards of elections, wiping out records only of anyone ever having been registered Democrat in California, Oregon, Washington, Massachusetts, New York, and six other states. By another equally strange twist of meterological fate, the storms will strike too late to re-register these voters.
The new head of NOAA will be quoted as saying, “Wow. Nature is verily the creation of an awesome God, ain’t it?”
DouglasG
October 10, 2006 at 11:37 am
7Osama’s hiding place must be really great! I predicted his capture/death for the previous biennial suprise. They can’t use the anti-gay gambit they used in the last election. (For obvious reasons.)
I’m thinking “high stockmarket & low oil price blitz.” Some sort of fake showing of a strong economy before the bottom falls out of the thing…
Murray
October 10, 2006 at 11:54 am
8Adam, I assume that you want us to predict the future, and not as the Bush history re-writers are doing, predict the past.
I predict that the price of gasoline will hit about $3.70 by May 2007. This will allow the oil companies to recoup the loss they had to endure to return the Republicans to power by dropping the price to $2.30 for several months before the election. OK, this isn’t much of a perdition, sort of like saying, unless something happens, the sun will rise tomorrow.
Of course there is always the tried and true, terrorist alert scare. Because they have cried wolf several (electorially judicious) times before, they will need to make this bigger and better. Perhaps rent a 757 and buzz several medium size cities like Akron or Billings. That should send those foolish voters scattering.
Perhaps they can claim to have captured Osama, no, make that killed him, and blew him into a million little pieces, so they don’t have a body to show, but take their word for it, they got him.
Murray
October 10, 2006 at 12:01 pm
9Thanks a lot Douglas. You go and incert your idaes while I’me composing minne and make me loook like I stol your ideas. Next time I won’te waiste time using spelll-check and you will have to gess what I meen, but at least I’ll be frist.
Thompson
October 10, 2006 at 12:15 pm
10It will be discovered that Bill and Hillary Clinton are secretly the same person, and that all this time, Bill Clinton has been a sham invented by Hillary to hide her secret desire to become a New York senator, because, after all, that’s where all the power is. The next few weeks will see the release of several books detailing her affair with Monica Lewinsky against the sanctity of her marriage to herself, and will contain details that make the Starr Report read like a schoolchild’s first textbook.
The whole thing will, of course, be discovered to be a ruse when people discover that some of the “verbatim” dialogue was, in fact, lifted directly from Dave Barry columns written during the early 90’s, and it becomes absolutely clear that neither Bill nor Hillary are real and that the evil mastermind behind the whole Clinton family is, in fact, Socks the Cat, who has secretly been in cahoots with Karl Rove’s Eviller Clone the whole time as a sleeper cell operative, just waiting for such a situation like this to activate.
But by then, it will be early December.
Dale
October 10, 2006 at 1:16 pm
11A video will appear on YouTube in which a man with a long beard will make phlegm-clearing noises while subtitles inform viewers that he is saying “I am a terrorist, and if I were not hidden in a cave cutting American heads off, I would vote Democrat.”
On November 8, the second half of the video will surface, in which the fake beard falls off, revealing a sweaty Jeff Gannon/James Guckert in drippy make-up, but by then it will be too late.
Siobhan
October 10, 2006 at 3:09 pm
12Can we have a followup “November Surprise” contest, to guess the news that will be supressed until Wednesday, November 8?
Murray’s gas price prediction can be the first entry. I’ll throw in an announcement that the military is considering restarting the draft.
Mojo
October 10, 2006 at 4:20 pm
13I’m guessing we’ll have a new felons list with sixty-million names on it.
Harold
October 10, 2006 at 5:21 pm
14I’m just thinking that with the semi-successful nuclear test in North Korea, some U.S. reaction is guaranteed. And based on past performance, that action will be taken against an unrelated third party that’s a thorn in Our Glorious Leader’s side and has something we want. Yes, to show Noth Korea we mean business, I predict that we are about to invade Venezuela. Regime change time, you Chomsky-thumping dope-growing oil baron! Take than, Kim Jong Il!
War is always good for a quick boost in ratings. Well, at first, anyway.
cooper
October 10, 2006 at 5:59 pm
15siobhan, I’ve heard Rep. Charlie Rangel talk about reconstituting the draft. His point is that maybe the volunteer Army of One would be more diversified (read Caucasian) if the draft were in play. Maybe even snatch up a few Congressmen’s sons (and daughters, too, this time around) making going to war at the behest of a moron somewhat less likely to happen.
It's Pat!
October 10, 2006 at 6:24 pm
16Back to predictions:
College grants will be promised on October 30 for traditional, stable (must be married only once, must have been married longer than 17 years) families who live 15 to 50 miles from the center of any city larger than 100,000 people. Race not important, wink wink. Funding will be provided from the Aid to Africa program by foreign banks that got the money in the first place.
The Department of Transportation (does that even exist anymore, or is that also part of Homeland Security?) will announce the creation of new freeways in said cities, developed only in the areas that most need it. New Orleans gets first freeway, and actually the last one too, since funding is frozen after the gravel is laid down behind the bulldozers.
Rick
October 10, 2006 at 6:59 pm
17The Repubs are already starting to prepare us for this… Baker is their front man on this idea.. Already he’s been making statements about the need for a change in plan for Iraq. He’ll be the “outside voice” that the White House will finally listen to. And the surprise? Why, the partition of Iraq, of course!
They will announce it and be able to say both “stay the course!” and “we have a plan!” They will continue to argue that you don’t want to change Congress right in the middle of a really great plan and even though it was unthinkable to them a couple of years ago, a partitioned Iraq is looking pretty good right about now.
The sad truth is that this is probably the only workable solution at this point so if the Repubs announce it before the Demos get around to it, they will get the credit for it.
dee
October 10, 2006 at 7:08 pm
18Rick — Joe Biden’s been hawking a partition plan to anyone who’ll listen so they’d have a hard time pretending it all came to them in a dream.
Not that they won’t try.
Rick
October 10, 2006 at 7:17 pm
19Ah! Good!
I guess I haven’t been watching enough Cable news lately or else I would have known that! Thanks Dee, for keeping me on top of things!
Boofus McGoofus
October 10, 2006 at 7:24 pm
20Dick Cheney will give a speech to the Republican Women’s Club of Wheeling, West Virginia. During that speech, he will produce a piece of paper and state “I have here in my hand a list of 205 people that were known to the Democratic leadership as being members of Al Qaeda, and who, nevertheless, are still working and shaping the policy of the Democratic National Committee.”
He will shoot anyone who doesn’t believe him.
Fran
October 10, 2006 at 7:43 pm
21Bombs. There will be another pseudo-al-Qaeda bombing on US soil. Probably in a blue state. On the wave of outrage and uber-pseudo-patriotism, they will repeal the Act that limits Bush’s tenure, thereby really making him emperor.
SeattleDan
October 10, 2006 at 8:12 pm
22Wait, wait! You mean to say he isn’t already the Emperor?
cooper
October 11, 2006 at 4:55 am
23Well it seems everyone is getting into the “Predict the October Surprise” game. Rolling Stone has an article asking celebrities and political hacks to make predictions. Pat Buchanon - “Fence off Mexico” (he serious here, I think); Donna Brazile - “Bin Laden is Seized”; Bill Maher - “Cheney Shoots Gay Daughter”.
This issue also has full size reproductions of some their hottest covers and you should see these photos! It’s a good bet that my son won’t!
Sharon
October 11, 2006 at 6:31 am
24The start of bombing runs on Iran. (Sorry I can’t come up with anything funny right now.)
tess
October 11, 2006 at 7:11 am
25Oi, I missed a lot.
I, for one, am very fond of the idea of the eccentric doomsday sayer convincing a load of 6′ coeds to join him in a bunker over in, oh, Montana. I’m tired of feeling short at 5′7″ next to a load of blond 6′+ blond women.
DouglasG
October 11, 2006 at 7:15 am
26Just think of it as “Smart minds think alike” Murray… Me no need spelly checkers. Me spell good!
True Patriot
October 11, 2006 at 8:33 am
27You know, The Bush League hasn’t used Area 51 yet. How about a scary invasion by Creepy Extraterrestrial Aliens having been thwarted by The Bush League? Makes as much sense as anything else Doofus & Co. have come up with in the last six years.
Dave
October 11, 2006 at 9:43 am
28I predict that there will be no need for an October surprise. Instead, the rapture will happen, Republican voters will be twinkled right up to heaven, and there will finally be peace for all us wicked heathens.
Siobhan
October 11, 2006 at 9:57 am
29Dave, from your lips to God’s ears, or however that saying goes…
Kip W
October 11, 2006 at 10:23 am
30With laws that are already in place (aided by some signing statements), Bush will decide there is no need to invade any more foreign countries, but will declare the state with the largest number of Blue votes (California? New York?) to be an enemy combatant state, and invade it. Or maybe he’ll pick on a slightly smaller state that promises an easier target. I’m not perfect at this.
SpottedDog
October 11, 2006 at 10:32 am
31It will be discovered that Democrats also have sex lives, some of them are gay, and, oops, some of them have poor judgement.
Roadstergal
October 11, 2006 at 12:22 pm
32George Bush will once again land on an aircraft carrier, and this time his flightsuit’s codpiece will be large enough to sweep careless sailors off of the deck. He will stand underneath a sign that says, in letters large enough for the most myopic granny to see from across the room on a 13″ screen, MISSION ACCOMPLISHED - AGAIN! WE’RE FARTING THROUGH SILK THIS TIME, FOLKS! He will then announce that, as the liberals are not pro-life, he will have them all shot. The Applause light will flash, and the servicepeople will cheer. Anyone not displaying an adequate level of jubilation will be prodded meaningfully in the back with heavy weaponry.
Completely tangentially, I enjoyed this article, particularly this quote:
“Bachmann, on the other hand, attends an evangelical megachurch and is known for her unsuccessful effort to put a state constitutional amendment against same-sex marriage on the November ballot. If same-sex marriage spreads, she has warned, “public schools would have to teach that homosexuality and same-sex marriages are normal, natural and that maybe children should try them.”
Cover the kids’ eyes! There is nothing normal or natural about two people in love getting married!
Harold
October 11, 2006 at 12:50 pm
33Fran wins! Fran wins!
http://www.cnn.com/2006/US/10/11/plane.crash/index.html
Aircraft crashes into Manhattan high-rise
NEW YORK (CNN) — A small airplane crashed into a 50-story residential building on Manhattan’s East Side Wednesday and flames were shooting out from several windows midway up.
The Federal Aviation Administration described the plane as a “general aviation” fixed-wing aircraft flying under visual flight rules, meaning a pilot was flying by visual landmarks.
The plane hit the Belaire Condominiums, built in 1989 at 524 E. 72nd Street near the East River. More than 150 firefighters are on scene of a four-alarm fire in the building.
There was no word on casualties. NORAD (North American Aerospace Defense Command) said it had put fighter aircraft into the air over numerous U.S. cities, though they said they had no reason to believe the event in New York was anything more than an accident, sources told CNN’s Barbara Starr. It did the same thing after the September 11 2001, terrorist attacks.
John Murphy
October 11, 2006 at 1:20 pm
34Fran did not win she said Bombs not aircraft.
“Bombs. There will be another pseudo-al-Qaeda bombing on US soil. Probably in a blue state.”
Harold
October 11, 2006 at 1:32 pm
35I suppose that depends on what your definition of “bomb” is.
(Remember when such evasive legalistic hairsplitting used to be considered “Clintonian”? Wow, Bush & Co. sure have robbed him of that legacy!)
Veronica
October 11, 2006 at 1:37 pm
36I just have to say I’m shocked at this Harold person’s level of cynicism.
Harold
October 11, 2006 at 2:43 pm
37My dear Veronica, if only you met me in person, you would know how cynical I truly am. Also how handsome, svelte, witty and charming.
Harold
October 11, 2006 at 2:49 pm
38Holy crap. It doesn’t look like it was terrorism.
Yankees pitcher’s plane crashes into Manhattan high-rise
NEW YORK (CNN) — Yankees pitcher Cory Lidle was the sole person aboard the plane that crashed Wednesday into a high-rise apartment building in New York, FBI officials told CNN.
Emergency responders found his passport in the street below, the officials said.
The small airplane was a Cirrus SR-20 registered to Lidle, 34, said Yankees manager Joe Torre.
There was a mayday, FAA reports, from the pilot involving a problem with fuel before the aircraft crashed into the 50-story high-rise on Manhattan’s East Side.
One other person was reportedly killed, according to the New York City Fire Department and New York City Police Department.
Happy Entrails
October 11, 2006 at 4:53 pm
39Big tax giveback. The formula is complicated, but seems to have something to do with how the taxpayer votes on Nov. 7. (Bet you didn’t know the NSA was tracking that.)
David
October 11, 2006 at 6:55 pm
40Reaching back to its favorite historical period, the 19th century, the Republican machine will dust off the Manifest Destiny plan to invade Canada, and President Bush will give the order to go just in time to rescue the mid-term elections for the Party of God. Canadian Prime Minister What’s-His-Face will at first be taken aback, but will then come to accept the sheer brilliance of the creation of the resulting supercountry. Among other benefits, it will end the existence of America’s longest undefended border, freeing up the new Anglo-American behemoth to concentrate all its energies on sealing the border with the North American country to the south and end the surge of job-stealing, Spanish-speaking, Democrat-trending brown ones who seem to think it is ok to seek a better life for themselves and their families, not realizing sympathy for that human impulse actually ended once Euro-Americans had succeeded in securing the New World from the indigenous savages.
French Canadians will at first raise hell, but will ultimately acquiesce, since all persons of French extraction have the now scientifically identified surrender monkey gene.
cooper
October 11, 2006 at 7:46 pm
41SeattleTammy, so dish already. How was the birthday party for David Ossman? I’ve felt him to be a bit of a mentor and a constant companion during my wasted youth.
cooper
October 11, 2006 at 7:56 pm
42Ooops, SeattleTammy, I went back and read your post about David Ossman’s party - not until December 6 - my bad. But I’ll want a full report when it happens; photos, too.
cooper
October 12, 2006 at 4:24 am
43In answer to a question from yesterday’s news conference concerning regrets about choices he’s made in Iraq, W had the following response - THE PRESIDENT: …Speaking of books, somebody ought to add up the number of pages that have been written about my administration…
Good idea, W, and since you don’t seem to be doing anything useful, why don’t I put you in charge of that. But not counting the pages, counting the words. See you in a couple of years. Don’t worry, Mr. Cheney will take care of all the heavy lifting; and do feel free to take a break when needed to cut brush down in Crawford.
your pal (wink, wink)
cooper
Siobhan
October 12, 2006 at 4:59 am
44I thought his response was utterly bizarre, too. (And you make an excellent suggestion, Cooper.) When he did finally meander closer to answering the question - any regrets about his choices? - he only said was hat he wished Abu Ghraib hadn’t happened. That is to say, the one thing that they’ve managed to pin blame for on someone else.
Maybe I’m misinterpreting; maybe he meant that it really was his plan - the whole Abu Ghraib thing.
David
October 12, 2006 at 5:39 am
45Loved Keith Olbermann’s coverage of Bush’s truly bizarre garden party press-the-press-flesh conference. How about Bush’s burgeoning new career as a fashion critic?
David
October 12, 2006 at 6:06 am
46What with his new found interest in reading and all, perhaps King George the Denier can find time for this article on loss of fresh water supplies:
http://www.commondreams.org/views06/1010-20.htm
Becca (and Brian)
October 12, 2006 at 7:27 am
47Ack! There goes the only dem I was slightly enthused about supporting:
http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/10/12/warner.president.ap/index.html
It’s going to be a long year and a half. Surely they can find some candidate with a spine and integrity and a plan and the ability to actually speak eloquently about the mess Bush and Co have made instead of just pandering for votes….
Where’s that viable third party when you need them?
Becca
and as an article in the local paper here said a few days ago, What would Wellstone have been doing/saying over the past two years? We so miss his voice.
Siobhan
October 12, 2006 at 9:20 am
48Becca, how about Feingold?
Sharon
October 12, 2006 at 9:33 am
49“Maybe I’m misinterpreting; maybe he meant that it really was his plan - the whole Abu Ghraib thing.”
That, too, but I think what he meant was that he wished the story had never been exposed.
Thompson
October 12, 2006 at 12:27 pm
50The one bit of truth I’ve ever found in politics, Becca, is that the people you want in office are the people who are least likely to seek it.
Or, to put it more personally, I’m always fascinated by the fact that I immediately develop more respect for someone who looks at the possibility of campaigning for public office and says, “No, that’s just not a priority.”
Well, provided they have the viable possibility. I look at public office daily and admit it’s not a priority, but I have yet to develop any more self-respect…
Ann
October 12, 2006 at 12:30 pm
51Veronica,
Harold is too modest. He didn’t mention his incredible stamina!
Harold
October 12, 2006 at 1:37 pm
52And my uncanny sense of balance.
My money still says we’re going to invade Venzuela before the end of the month. I’m sure if you asked Bush he’d say that there were no plans on his desk for an invasion, which would be a dead giveaway.
cooper
October 12, 2006 at 1:46 pm
53Sharon, good point. That’s what I thought, too.
JOHN MURPHY
October 12, 2006 at 2:32 pm
54I am sorry to say
The second coming of Christ is George W. Bush.
Watch for the exclusive on Fox news.
Stephen
October 12, 2006 at 3:45 pm
55I think Bush would be more like the Anti-Christ.
Boomer
October 12, 2006 at 4:20 pm
56David, thanks for the link to the article on fresh water and global warming. So, how’s the water quality on the edge of the Green Swamp?
Dale
October 12, 2006 at 4:50 pm
57Off topic, but Ann: did you like NY?
gillian
October 12, 2006 at 5:20 pm
58Off target, but a great YouTube entry from a Bonnie Raitt show @ CrooksandLiars. If you love Bonnie, and who doesn’t, you’ll enjoy this.
Ann
October 12, 2006 at 5:31 pm
59I totally hearted NY. We stayed with friends who have a 44th-floor apartment in Battery Park City, overlooking the Statue of Liberty, Ellis Island, etc. Breathtaking. We didn’t have a single bad moment, and it was marvelous to see so many spots in person that I’ve known only from movies and TV. Can’t wait to go back!
David
October 12, 2006 at 7:06 pm
60Boomer,
Depressing news. The Butler Chain of Lakes, which long held the title of cleanest lake chain in Florida, is now experiencing the onset of blue-green algae blooms (I think I have my color right), which is indicative of deterioration of water quality. The Green Swamp, which is pretty large, and includes everything from out-and-out swamps to dry areas, and sits over a major aquifer, is under increasing assault by developers. This is a follow up, of course, to the toxification of this aquifer by various grove sprays. And more megadevelopments are in the works for the northern end of the Green Swamp. In Central Florida under our Republican one-party political system, 1950s obliviousness has re-emerged with a vengeance. I think all of the environmental progress made under a succession of progressive Democratic governers has been either reversed or rendered ineffectual. The current Republican candidate for governor, who has a substantial lead in the polls, professes to be an environmentalist. But so did Jeb Republo-con Bush.
It ain’t true that there is no difference between contemporary Republicans and contemporary Democrats, at least in Florida. There is a profound fundamental difference.
Mieke
October 12, 2006 at 11:45 pm
61The terror alert will be raised to “flaming scarlet” due to a very credible (they can’t disclose the details, but VERY CREDIBLE) tip by the CIA that a very specific plot to blow up every metropolitan area in the U.S. by unnamed Al Qaeda operatives is imminent. All people are encouraged to cower under a blanket in the basement until further news as reporters in gas masks brave the streets to stand in front of buildings and report the impending doom in omonous tones, intercut with images of 9/11 and Osama Bin Laden. Then Pat Robertson will have a vision and report that The Lord Almighty appeared to him in the darkest hour clad in golden robes, and assured him that all would be well if his brethren voted Republican, and America would be safe thanks to the fearless protector, George W Bush. November 6 will see the whole Al Qaeda plot be foiled, Al Qaeda’s “top leaders” (they just have an endless supply of top leaders, it seems) apprehended, and the terror alert dropped to dewy green. Birds will sing. The American soldiers will each receive a $1000 Thanksgiving bonus for their help fighting terror (Thanks!). Bush will appear on television and tell us all how extreeeemely close it was, how this shows how truly dangerous and evil the enemy is, and how all our efforts at fighting terror are paying off, and this is the proof. As the trembling masses emerge from their basements wiping their brows, he will remind them that the Democrats want to cut defense spending. Oh yes, and also, that he doesn’t really lend tooooo much credibility to Pat Robertson’s glorious burning vision and The Lord’s warnings of firy death if not voting Republican. He’s pretty (I mean purdy) sure that won’t happen. Fairly kinda sure you won’t burn in Satan’s flames if you vote Democrat, no matter what Pat Robertson’s glorious vision was. Hey, this is America. You have the freedom to vote what you want. The important thing is not to forget to vote November 7 (November 8 if you are a Democrat).
sjelly
October 13, 2006 at 12:15 am
62Pakistan (our bestest friend ever) will reveal that they have captured Osama bin Hidden, and that neither the $$$millions we’ve been giving Perv, nor the threat of back-to-the-stone age-bombing, nor the elections played any part in his tracking/capture/killing. Also, the Repugs will prove that Hillary made up those IMs.
Harold
October 13, 2006 at 4:02 am
63Off-topic…maybe: Has anyone else noticed the Letters to the Editor column of their local paper getting flooded with letters condemning Bill Clinton for undermining the moral foundation of America, thus bringing on everything from the 9/11 attacks to rising gas prices to Abu Ghraib? I’m suspecting this is an example of “astroturf”, an artificial grassroots campaign being coordinated by the Repug machine to try to sway the votes of “values voters” who don’t realize that Clinton has been out of office for nearly six years.
Siobhan
October 13, 2006 at 5:31 am
64Harold, my local paper is the San Francisco Chronicle…
Actually, they do print the occasional letter along those lines, but I suspect it’s mostly to give us a chuckle in the morning. In our little bubble out here, they probably know all five local wingnuts by name and would be suspicious of any letter blaming Clinton that didn’t come from one of them.
SpottedDog
October 13, 2006 at 7:26 am
65I’m not much of a sports fan, so I may have my facts wrong, but from what I’ve read it seems that the pitcher responsible for the Yankees losing the pennant race died in a plane crash just a few days later.I haven’t seen any mention of that “coincidence” in the news. I mention it here just to get the idea off my chest. Seems like an obvious avenue of inquiry to me.
Julius
October 13, 2006 at 11:57 am
66Rocktober surprise - Van Halen will reunite and come out with a fiendishly good new album
George
October 13, 2006 at 4:09 pm
67The surprise was happening right under our noses. The “nuke” that North Korea set off wasn’t really a nuke. If we all think it was a nuke, that creates fear and fear is an authoritarian conservative’s best friend.
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_NKOREA?SITE=VANOV&SECTION=HO ME
Julia
October 13, 2006 at 5:10 pm
68Laura Bush will be tentatively diagnosed with Some Awful Thing. Many tears ensue, along with a brand new color of Commemorative Ribbon.
Impossible-to-re-elect Republicans will flock to the local blood and tissue donation centers; those who can’t pass blood tests will be photographed with oversized cardboard checks in painfully large amounts (not a problem since no actual checks will be written.) GWB will be photo’d with major preachers and possibly JC His own self.
Laura and her support group of Repub Wives will make teary-but-brave campaign appearances. She will go into remission/be rediagnosed late on election day.
I’m not cynical. Not at all.
David
October 13, 2006 at 8:17 pm
69Boomer,
Slight correction: Clermont Chain of Lakes. Butler Chain is also under attack, and I’m sure will also experience the blue-green blooms fairly soon, especially because it is in the line of fire of the new developments.
dee
October 13, 2006 at 9:35 pm
70cooper, this is for you, and any other rocketeers out there.
cooper
October 14, 2006 at 6:41 am
71dee, thanks for the link. Great article! Black Rock is holy ground for rocketeers. It’s nice to put a face with a name. Wedge Oldham writes a lot of articles for rocket magazines and that’s a great photo of him and a friend working on his launch vehicle, as they say at NASA. Tomorrow is the first launch for our club since June, when the corn in the field got too high to find rockets. The harvest has happened and the field is nothing but stubble now, so look out world!
Harold
October 14, 2006 at 7:21 am
72October surprise: A suspected al Qaeda cell will be found in North Carolina, preparing to launch a variety of missiles from a cornfield.
Cooper, I thought Fatherland Security was restricting the sale of model rocket engines. Have they relaxed their leather-gloved grip? Are you using rocket engines stockpiled in the past in anticipation of such an event? Or are you devising other means of propulsion?
David
October 14, 2006 at 10:34 am
73Harold,
Wow, a corn field-based terrorist right here amongst FA’s ranks!
Charlottiteans are an interesting lot (obviously I’m having trouble letting go of -ite in favor of -ean, cooper - what can I say?)
I’m listening to a song advocating impeachment sung to the tune of “Maria.” Add WMNF Tampa online to your listening pleasure, FAers. It’s an oasis of sanity in the wasteland called contemporary Florida, and the Sixties Show from noon-2 est is a major winner.
Dr. J is authentic down to his bone marrow.
Meanwhile, Go Gators! Prime rib of Tiger is today’s featured entree.
cooper
October 14, 2006 at 11:04 am
74Harold, Allahu Akbar! Model rocket motors (Estes type), no problem. High power motors, oh yeah, Mr. Cheney still has a death grip on those and even a harmless person such as myself has to get the dreaded LEUP, submit to a background check, get fingerprinted, and have a minor government employee from the BATFE come to your premises, perform an inspection and read the Riot Act to you. They’re hoping that all the hoops you have to leap through will discourage you from even trying to get the larger, more powerful motors. But they underestimate the fanatic!
Mieke
October 15, 2006 at 7:50 pm
75George, how does the news story you provided a link to support the idea that it wasn’t a nuke?
I think the North Korea story is an October UNsurprise. I think it proves that the administration never even believed that Iraq had WMD or that they believe Iran has intentions beyond a nuclear energy program. With North Korea, which has actually now tested a nuclear weapon (or at least claims to), they talk about sanctions and diplomacy. That is how they deal with countries that they actually believe have a nuclear weapon, I’m assuming because, well, they have a nuclear weapon. Notice how they fearlessly march into a country they accuse of having WMD, find nothing to that effect, and then start bombing? Wouldn’t that strongly suggest they didn’t actually fear Iraq having WMD, when we see how they react to a country which does? I’m also UNsurprised that the media haven’t been relentlessly drilling them about that bit of inconsistent behavior. Anyway, bit off-topic but in response to George.
David
October 15, 2006 at 8:39 pm
76Mieke,
Iran is still the best bet for an October surprise, only they’ll dispense with marching in and instead just bomb away. I think the major behind-the-scenes battle is between people in/somehow connected to the administration who want the attack on Iran, for which logistical steps have already been undertaken and are at stage 2, I think, and those who consider this plan suicidal stupidity of the highest order and are doing everything they can to stop this madness, possibly including trying to cripple the neoconidiots.
It’s hell having to make educated guesses over matters of such import which the bastards deign citizens unworthy of being allowed to judge or have a say regarding. “I get to decide,” the Asshole-in-Chief said and apparently believes in an egocentric absolutist sense, in which regard I have trouble distinguishing him from Kim Jong-Il. They both strike me as mentally ill.
Mieke
October 15, 2006 at 11:49 pm
77Yes, indeed. W does indeed seem to be going in the “dear leader” direction.
As far as Iran, I think that an attack on that country would be a massive risk for the administration in terms of public opinion. Yes, historically people stand behind the government in times of war. However, with our troops stretched thin in Iraq, billions of our taxpayer dollars being poured into the war, and general weariness (and growing wariness) about the whole mess over there, I think the Republicans may suspect invading another country could actually be the straw that broke the camel’s back and have disasterous effects on their popularity amongst their remaining supporters. In my opinion, this is the only reason they haven’t done it yet.
THAT SAID, nothing surprises me with these people when it comes to unbridled hubris and unchecked arrogance. They tend to do whatever they want and explain it away with a wave of the hand, (correctly) assuming their supporters will blindly march behind whatever flimsy talking points they issue forth.
ice weasel
October 16, 2006 at 7:37 pm
78Proving once again, one need only dip into the news to find things better than can be made up (you know, that fiction stuff)…
Court may give Saddam verdict on November 5
By Mariam Karouny
BAGHDAD (Reuters) - An Iraqi court trying Saddam Hussein for the killing of Shi’ite villagers in the 1980s could deliver a verdict on November 5, officials said, a ruling which could send the ousted leader to the gallows.
The U.S.-backed court was due to announce on Monday a final date for verdicts on Saddam and seven of his former top lieutenants for crimes against humanity, a charge which carries a maximum penalty of death by hanging.
But the court said it needed more time to review testimony. Chief prosecutor Jaafar al-Moussawi said the Iraqi High Tribunal could announce a verdict when it reconvenes on November 5.
“Right now they are checking some testimonies and details. If they finish by then, then they will definitely announce the verdict on November 5,” he told Reuters.
What they forgot to mention was that the court has been sitting on this since when? July 27th.
Scroll down, it’s there.
Ok, that’s a pretty tepid surprise but still, once has to respect the timing of that “U.S.-backed court”.
David
October 17, 2006 at 5:40 am
79Pulling out all the stops, they are. It will cause the news cycle that day to be all Saddam, all the time. Perfect timing. Karl is a pile of diarrhetic dingo dung, but a clever pile.
Siobhan
October 17, 2006 at 10:06 am
80It could bite them in the ass if there is an outbreak of violence in the wake of the decision. I mean, a bigger than usual outbreak of violence, not the mundane 50-60 killings a day.
(I shudder to think what level of violence it would take to seriously grab the attention of the media these days. Maybe if there was an outbreak of s-e-x instead?)
YLlama
October 17, 2006 at 10:45 am
81October Surprise: Bin Laden still not caught.
Mieke
October 19, 2006 at 1:50 am
82If they wait long enough, maybe Saddam’s trial will go the way of Milosovich’s trial.
George
October 23, 2006 at 10:58 am
83Check this out for some October Surprises:
http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=6368073