Ron Suskind’s new book, “The One Percent Doctrine,” explores Vice President Dick Cheney’s view that if there’s a 1 percent chance terrorists might detonate a nuclear bomb in an American city, the government must act as if there’s a 100 percent chance. Despite the guffawing this elicited from administration critics, it strikes me as eminently sensible. (If there were a 1 percent chance the snake in your back yard would kill your child, wouldn’t 1 percent equal 100 percent for you too?)
We live in a neighborhood in the LA hills with very few pedestrians, and my friends always call before visiting. So I was a little surprised when the doorbell rang. I was more surprised when it was Vice President Dick Cheney.
“Your backyard is overrun with poisonous snakes,” he said. “And they’re about to kill your children.”
Then he shut the door in my face. There was a roaring noise of engines turning over, and a trembling in the floorboards.
I ran to the back of the house, where our dining room window looks out on the downward sloping hillside we indulgently call “a backyard.” Cheney was directing two big yellow backhoes into position.
“Snakes?” I yelled, trying to be heard over the diesel engines.
“Horrible poisonous snakes,” he nodded, speaking in that familiar flat monotone. “Mambas. Cobras. Pit vipers.”
The backhoes started digging into the dirt, tearing up the brush and shrubbery.
“How do you know?” I yelled. “We haven’t seen any. Ever.”
“Who you going to trust,” he said, “Me? Or some snake?”
“Couldn’t we just look for the snakes, first? See if they’re actually there?”
“Too dangerous,” he said, barely deigning to shake his head. “Naïve. Foolish. You go look for them, it’s just what they want. Then they bite your children. On their eyeballs.”
The blades of one of the backhoes was scraping away the dirt from one of the steel supports that holds our house up. The exposed metal looked scarily naked, and I thought I could feel the house sway.
“I don’t have any children!” I yelled.
“You might someday,” he said. “You look fertile. And you’ve got to take an aggressive posture. Can’t wait till you and your husband have sexual intercourse, the spermatozoa travels up the vaginal canal and then the fallopian tubes, penetrates the egg, creating a zygote, then the zygote implants, becomes a fetus, develops, is born, grows into a toddler, then comes back here and pow, gets swallowed by a python. That’s what they want us to do. That’s what we did under previous administrations. It’s a sign of weakness.”
“Pythons aren’t poisonous….” I said, weakly. Destabilized by the digging, a huge portion of what had been my yard slid down the hill and into the pool of my neighbor downslope. He came out, saw the wreckage, and began screaming. Then he went inside. I could see him, through the French doors of his pool patio, loading a shotgun.
The engines on the backhoes quieted. My backyard was gone. Instead, my house swayed nervously on naked steel pillars jutting out of what looked like the side of a moon crater. Angry muttering came up from my armed neighbor below.
Cheney nodded with what I assume was grim satisfaction and directed the backhoes to drive away.
“You’re going to leave it like this?” I said.
“Our concern was the snakes,” he said. “Now, I’m sure, the natural yearning of the earth to blossom and regenerate will restore your yard. I anticipate you’ll be greeted with flowers. Now, if you’ll excuse us, we’ve heard reports of possible snakes in Encino.”
Later on, the Halliburton Company came and installed a two hundred thousand dollar decorative granite waterfall, which immediately slid down the hill into my neighbors yard, which made him even madder, so now I can’t even turn on the lights because he keeps shooting at them. But it was a nice gesture.





52 comments
Jack K., The Grumpy Forester
August 18, 2006 at 9:34 am
1…great…
…here I sit laughing out loud like a stoner fool when I’m supposed to be cranking out some desicated droning technical report. Suspicious glances are being cast my direction and the the overlords are going to bring the deal down hard if I don’t get that Word doc back up on my screen soonest. But…thanks, anyway. This is the best thing I’ve seen come down the inter-tubes in a good while…
Benjamin
August 18, 2006 at 10:48 am
2The description of human fertilization and birth is exactly how I would imagine Cheney saying it.
Great post
piglet
August 18, 2006 at 12:42 pm
3I bet it turns out that the neighbor had a snake all along…
(nt) Pete
August 18, 2006 at 12:50 pm
4Sweet! Smart pointy writing like this is why I keep coming back.
Just as a side note, I hope BP insn’t in charge of maintaining the inter-tubes (imagine the potential spam/porn spill).
waterfowler
August 18, 2006 at 1:09 pm
5Very funny. Why do I think you’re Molly Ivins? And what have you done w/ that frozen sea skunk?
Julia
August 18, 2006 at 1:25 pm
6Absolutely terrific. Thanks.
Ann
August 18, 2006 at 3:00 pm
7Isn’t there a one percent chance of pretty much every conceivable disaster, with the possible exception of invasion by extraterrestrials?
historyenne
August 18, 2006 at 5:26 pm
8Great point, Ann.
Sienna, I loved the post, and I’m sorry to be pedantic, but I’m a French teacher, and I’ve lost the ability to control my urge to correct grammar and spelling. It should be “en plein air;” in French aire means “area” while air is “air.”
I’ll be quiet now.
jpj
August 18, 2006 at 6:49 pm
9Dick Cheney came to may house and told me I should stay in bed all day with the covers over my head and the curtains drawn.
Fran
August 18, 2006 at 8:16 pm
10I think there’s at least a 1 percent chance of invasion by extraterrestrials. Blow up all of outer space, just to be sure!
Wait, no. Let’s send Cheney et al into outer space to find the aliens and blow them up…er, bring democracy to ‘em. That’ll show those aliens!
SeattleDan
August 18, 2006 at 9:28 pm
11You know you’ve seen them. They are among us. Yes, aliens. They’re here and they’ve taken over. We don’t want to send Cheney up there. He’s one of them!
They’re here, they’re here. Watch out. Look to the stars! They’re here. What’s that pod-looking thing under my bed? Why is that guy’s pinkie too short? Oh, Lord, help me!
(SeattleTammy slap). Oh. Never mind. Everything’s ok. Nothing to look at here. Carry on.
David
August 18, 2006 at 11:19 pm
12This one is not to be missed. Did you ever capture Cheney’s mindset off of Jonah Goldberg’s apparent lack of a sufficiently comprehensive mind in a hell of a well told tale. Thanks, Sienna.
I thought alien invasion was already clearly established. No question in my mind one would find a dorsal zipper on Cheney.
Murray
August 19, 2006 at 10:04 am
13It’s bad enough that they tear up your backyard, but it’s the $ 1 1/2 billion a week invoice they stick you with that really hurts.
I’m wondering just what empirical measurements they use to determine a 1% chance. It’s easy enough with cards, or flipping coins because you can get large enough number of tries to set up a formula, but if something has never happened how can you make any statement regarding its chance? There are an infinite number of scenarios that could kill you, including being hit by lightning, while being eaten by a poisonous shark, as you get out of bed. (Prove it can’t happen and prove that it’s not a 1% chance).
Maximum Bob
August 19, 2006 at 11:41 am
14Dick Cheney came to may house and told me I should stay in bed all day with the covers over my head and the curtains drawn.
Yeah, he does that every election day.
Mary
August 19, 2006 at 11:43 am
15I bet Murray is also going to claim there is a 1% chance that a poisonous shark even exists.
The difference between possible and probable is not a distinction this administration is ever going to comprehend. Great job Sienna!
cooper
August 19, 2006 at 3:28 pm
16MaxBob, did Cheney come to your house too?
This is certainly an interesting discussion, but my book just came in the mail, so I’ll be leaving now. Sienna, don’t be such a stranger.
Anselpixel
August 20, 2006 at 9:13 am
17The Halliburton waterfall is a fine touch. Great bit!
Dave D
August 20, 2006 at 5:33 pm
18It’s a shame the administration doesn’t apply the same logic to it’s policy towards the environment ….. ‘If there’s a 1% chance that smokestack emissons harm the environment, and life on the planet … ‘.
If only …
siobhan
August 20, 2006 at 6:18 pm
19Oooohhh…. David.
Thank you, thank you for providing a talking point. You made my day!
Jeff Middents
August 20, 2006 at 8:42 pm
20No joke, but where was Cheney a few weeks back when my toddler actually encountered a rattlesnake at a lake we were visiting in Michigan? I mean, really.
Kip W
August 21, 2006 at 7:25 am
21We just killed the rattlesnakes on a case-by-case basis when we saw them. Usually Dad shot them, but on one memorable occasion when he wasn’t home, Mom decapitated a rattler with a hoe, and told us to stay away from the head. We did, having gotten the impression it was still alive and waiting for us to come close to it. (Sounds like Cheney!)
David
August 21, 2006 at 7:45 am
22siobhan
That one originated with my Sweetie, she of the gorgeous red hair and even more gorgeous underlying mind. Glad I thought to pass it along.
Kip W,
Got the same advice from my mother on a quite similar occasion. Found it helpful re Nixon, the real Bush Senior, and now the two-headed reptile Bush/Cheney. Make that Cheney/Bush, just like Bush/Reagan.
Maximum Bob
August 21, 2006 at 3:53 pm
23Sorry to drag things off-topic, but NYC talk show host Leonard Lopate interviewed one Mr. A. Felber on his show today. You can get an MP3 of the interview here:
http://audio.wnyc.org/lopate/lopate082106c.mp3
cooper
August 21, 2006 at 5:14 pm
24MaxBob, good job, man! Thanks for the tip. For those shamefully behind the technocurve and without Mp3 devices (me), go to this website and listen to the interview. Two Renaissance men at work.
http://www.wnyc.org/shows/lopate/episodes/2006/08/21
cooper
August 21, 2006 at 5:38 pm
25BTW, did anyone catch the irony in one of Bush’s responses to a question in today’s press conference about Iran’s nuclear program and the way that country seems to be ignoring threats of sanctions from that UN? Read on.
The President: … “In order for the U.N. to be effective, there must be consequences if people thumb their nose at the United Nations Security Council. And we will work with people in the Security Council to achieve that objective, and the objective is that there’s got to be a consequence for them basically ignoring what the Security Council has suggested through resolution.”
Hmm… So when is Bush going to bend over and takes HIS punishment for the preemptive War in Iraq, where he pushed out the UN inspectors and started dropping bombs because he wanted to?
Dale
August 21, 2006 at 5:56 pm
26I don’t think anyone in the Bush administration has captured irony, ever.
I confess I missed that part of the speech because I was still choked up after Bush’s shocking concession that Democrats are Americans too.
Jim (Original Jim, not the Other Jim or the New Jim)
August 21, 2006 at 6:15 pm
27I was personally (for one of the first times ever) cheering the reporter who called shrub on his invocation of 9/11 as a reason for invading Iraq.
Afterward, if anyone had been around, they would have heard an audible THUNK when my jaw hit the floor upon the prez stating that he had never suggested that Iraq was responsible for 9/11.
It just goes to show you, if you dis a reporter’s suit, your gonna get a tough question (statement, actually).
I wonder if that reporter will be allowed to attend the next press conference or gaggle or whatever they have.
Helen Thomas, on the other hand, is allowed to ask tough questions because she has tenure.
Murray
August 21, 2006 at 7:12 pm
28OK folks, now that Adam is on his “Flog this book Tour”, it’s our duty to call up and inform listeners that they can meet him and get their books signed on a mountain top in South Central PA. I think that Adam is too modest to push Felberpalooza but that doesn’t mean that we shouldn’t. Let’s get out there and drag those suckers in!
So far I’ve gotten about half of the 12 rooms I’ve reserved at the local Day’s Inn spoken for. Camping will be the most fun, but if you desire a little more creature comfort (we do have hot showers and a real flush toilet) you can get a $55/ night rate through me. Email me at murray@grouseland.com to snag one of the remaining rooms (if the demand is great I can probably get more rooms).
To see the weekend activities go to http://www.grouseland.com/72hours.htm
The Felberpalooza activities will fall primarily on Sat. afternoon and evening. The schedule is up in the air but several things have been mentioned, including favorite power point/slide shows, favorite food cook offs, a mock Wait, Wait, game. You tell me. See you there.
SpotttedDog
August 22, 2006 at 12:00 am
29I just listened to the interview. Thanks for posting the link. I will be putting a request in to have my local library purchase a copy.
Dave D
August 22, 2006 at 4:48 am
30Hey cooper, do you think he might have had Israel in mind with those remarks about ” … there’s got to be a consequence for them basically ignoring what the Security Council has suggested through resolution.”?
Stephen
August 22, 2006 at 5:52 am
31so I am reading USA today in my hotel room and the front page has a story about how the Republicans’ Popularity, and Bush’s approval rating, has bounced back after the “alleged highjacking plot” in London. Is the memory of the average American really that short?!?!?!
What am I saying, of course it is…SIGH
Mieke
August 22, 2006 at 12:40 pm
32Right, Piglet. They dug up the wrong yard. The damn neighbor’s been “sponsoring” the snakes. At least I’m pretty sure. Only one way to find out…
waterfowler
August 22, 2006 at 12:48 pm
33Stephen, would you have rathered the “alleged plot” become reality so you could blame W & Blair for incompetence?
By the way, if it had become a reality, imagine the polls after 9/11 again, and just in time for the mid-term elections. You don’t normally sound like a moonbat, but…
Ann
August 22, 2006 at 2:13 pm
34Once again, WF presents false choices.
Suppose that Cheney HAD spoken about a “one percent chance of invasion by extraterrestrials.” Then suppose that the administration committed billions of dollars to defense against aliens and constantly fostered panic among us. If the threat turned out to be fabricated, we might reasonably complain. But using WF’s logic, the administration could absolve itself by simply saying, “Would you rather it were TRUE?”
Obviously, there’s at least one other possible scenario—one that doesn’t involve lying and manipulation.
Murray
August 22, 2006 at 2:39 pm
35Ann, I think you’re dropping yer bucket down a dry well.
Stephen
August 22, 2006 at 3:54 pm
36WF-
Of course I didn’t want the plot, if there was one, to become reality. And I doubt I would have blamed anything on Bush if it had. Last I heard the UK was still its own sovereign nation. I didn’t blame Bush when the Buses and Subways blew up over there, or when the trains were blown up in Spain. Heck, I didn’t even blame him when the two towers fell.
I do think that these things show that our current policies with regard to terrorism are not working. Perhaps we should try something else? Seems like I heard once that the definition of insanity was doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
And yes, by that definition, the terrorists are crazy.
What’s a moonbat?
cooper
August 22, 2006 at 6:02 pm
37Where do you think Jonah Goldberg studied math?
Maximum Bob
August 22, 2006 at 6:15 pm
38Where do you think Jonah Goldberg studied math?
Ed’s Discount Math Emporium, where new students get a 30% discount on the $500 tuition. Seventeen dollars is nothing to sneeze at.
waterfowler
August 22, 2006 at 9:44 pm
39Stephen, please describe your “try something else”. As far as us wingnuts are concerned, or maybe only me in particular, we’ve only half-assed it so far. If a true conservative were running this, Muqtada and his mosque would have been razed two years ago as well as Fallujah. And that’s just for starters in Iraq. That would be my “try something else”. @ that point Tehran would think twice. These people see only fear in our humanity and victory in their own inhumanity.
A “moonbat” is pretty much the opposite of a “wingnut”, just wrong.
David
August 23, 2006 at 6:00 am
40At this point I think the latest terrorist plot arrests (never mind the amateur fantasy factor) must just pull back some of Bush’s base which is otherwise utterly disgusted with El Presidente. John McCain I no longer even try to fathom. Bush is so not making us or the rest of the world safer that I find McCain’s support for W’s misguided wars to unfortunately increase terrorism sad.
Stephen
August 23, 2006 at 3:16 pm
41WF-
You know, when I was younger, a wing nut was one of those weird kids you saw hanging about comic book stores. Is there mandatory “right” that needs to go in front of that?
As far as my suggestions on better ways to handle it…I would not have invaded Iraq. There has been no credible evidence that they were linked to the attacks of 911, why are we even there? Seems even Bush said that recently, to the BBC I think. So having made that HUGE mis-step, it is hard to say where to go from there. Perhaps we could have actually cared about the citizens of Iraq. I remember an interview I heard a while back where it was said when the insurgency was first looking for recruits, they couldn’t find any. Everyone was so happy we were there. Don’t get the power on, get the water flowing, and keep the streets safe, most people would rebel. Wouldn’t you? So much has been done wrong; it is hard to say if anything at this point could fix it.
Thanks for the clarification on “moonbat” that was a new one.
Mike Z
August 25, 2006 at 7:18 am
42Hold on, wait a second…
If I act as if there is a 100% chance that terrorists will detonate a nuclear bomb in a US city, then the only thing that makes sense is to get the hell out of the way — go find a bomb shelter in an undisclosed location. If it’s 100%, then it is a certainty.
Similarly, if I were to act as if there were a 100% chance of a poisonous snake biting my child, then the logical course of action is to get the car warmed up for the drive to the emergency room.
Ann
August 25, 2006 at 2:25 pm
43Mike, I think it’s pretty clear from Cheney’s frequent disappearances that that’s exactly what he’s doing! When he says “the government must act as if there’s a 100 percent chance,” what he really means is “I’m heading for a bomb shelter!”
Nothing in this administration’s record should make us think that he meant “We’re going to take the appropriate steps to prevent such a disaster.”
pbg
August 25, 2006 at 2:46 pm
44If there’s a 1% chance that a nuclear weapon might be brought into an American Port in a container ship, well then of course we set up a system to scan every ship coming into port, right?
If there’s a 1% chance that a terrorist with a suitcase nuke might blow the levees in New Orleans in the middle of a hurricane, we put together a lightning response strategy to save peoples’ lives and property, right?
If there’s a 1% chance that terrorists might bomb a chemical factory, killing maiming and disfiguring hundreds of thousands, we turn over the security at those plantsto the military, right?
siobhan
August 25, 2006 at 3:12 pm
45Well, see, there’s only a 0.99% chance of those things happening, so we don’t need to follow up.
waterfowler
August 25, 2006 at 9:11 pm
46And if we do “follow up”, we’ll have David and his ACLU pukes suing US for hurting someone’s feelings.
Dale
August 26, 2006 at 12:17 pm
47There has got to be at least a 1% chance that Cheney’s Pacemaker will fail at some point…so by his own logic, shouldn’t he just kill himself now?
David
August 28, 2006 at 9:20 am
48ACLU pukes? Are you really that clueless, WF?
nato
August 29, 2006 at 5:12 pm
49The ACLU’s bad, David. They keep trying to defend that Constitution thing. You let that go on too long and next thing you know you’ll have women voting and dangerous things like freedom of speech.
David
August 30, 2006 at 7:09 am
50Yeah you’re right, nato. What was I thinking? Can we get together with all the rest of the card-carrying ACLUers who’ve seen the light, maybe in front of 1600 PennsAve, and burn our cards? Do you think Georgvs Leastvs will do a photo op with us? WF could maybe administer the Rites of Absolution.
Christopher Davis
September 3, 2006 at 8:20 pm
51Is there greater than a 1% chance that global warming is being caused by the burning of fossil fuels? Oh, but the 1% doctrine only applies when Halliburton will make money, not when Chevron (who named a tanker for Condoleeza Rice) will lose money….
David
September 3, 2006 at 10:02 pm
52Condeleeza, Condeleeza, Chevron named you,
You’re so much the lady with the ersatz smile,
Are you warm, are you real, Condeleeza,
Or just a cold and lonely, lovely load of guile?