RIGA (Reuters) - The United States said on Saturday it had a “robust” ability to deter North Korea in the face of worries that the reclusive state might be planning to test a nuclear weapon.
Saying that such a test would be provocative, the White House had tough rhetoric for Pyongyang hours after Asian and European foreign ministers meeting in Kyoto issued a statement of concern.
“We have a robust deterrent capability and no one should mistake what our capability is,” White House spokesman Scott McClellan told reporters during a visit by President Bush to Latvia.
I wish I’d been there in Latvia, because I think that I’m one of those people who might be mistaking what our “deterrent capability” is. Both practically and linguistically, it’s got me confused.
First off, if we do have the capability to deter, shouldn’t we just, er, go ahead and sort of… do that? You know, if we have the ability to deter North Korea from making more nuclear weapons and ways of deploying ‘em… why, that’d be swell. Let’s move our “deterrent capability” into action so that it becomes an “actual deterrent.” I’m for it.
Sadly, I think that McClellan wasn’t talking about stopping North Korea from making or even testing nuclear weapons. I think he was talking about deterring them from using ‘em. In other words, it’s the same ol’ deterrent that the ever-expanding family of nuclear nations have been using for the past 60 years: “Let’s not blow each other up, okay?”
That’s a decent deterrent too, top-notch, but I don’t think that North Korea or India or Pakistan or any of the other recent births in our frightening new nuclear family have any illusions about that. I’d guess that North Korea knows that the US has the ability to, um, vastly reduce real-estate prices in Pyongyang.
So I guess I’d have had two things to say to Scott McClellan in Latvia yesterday (once again, I’m really sorry I wasn’t there. Bit of a scheduling conflict…):
1) The 60 year-old threat of turning millions of civilians and their cities into sand, gravel, and a sticky residue isn’t a “deterrent capability.” It’s a full-fledged “deterrent.” Might as well stand up straight and own that one, boy.
2) When it comes to our “capability” to deter North Korea from making nukes… we don’t have that, really. Not so much.
Back in 2002, we had a deterrent of that nature. I’m sure it was all the talk of those Axis of Evil board meetings and golf holidays. “If we don’t develop nuclear weapons,” Saddam might have told Kim Jong Il while waiting for Mohammad Khatami to tee off at the par 4 fifteenth, “we won’t get invaded. Look out!”
The “Look out!” part was probably just said to ruin Khatami’s swing. They weren’t the Axis of Fair Play, after all. But Saddam’s point must have seemed valid back in ‘02. Let in a few inspectors, stop developing your WMD’s, and you can look forward to a bright future of terrorizing your people in peace and comfort for years to come.
That was ‘02. But now Kim Jong Il must realize that not developing nuclear weapons is one-way ticket to a spider hole, and he probably doubts his ability to grow one of those rakish Unabomber beards that came so easily to Saddam.
That, after all, is the message we sent to North Korea. Not just when we barnstormed into Iraq, but when we pointedly refused to say “Oops” when our intelligence proved to have been trumped-up and Saddam bizarrely innocent of possessing or developing WMDs. If we’d said “Oops,” Kim Jong Il might’ve thought he had a chance of slogging along indefinitely without interference if he’d only abandon his nuclear program. But the lack of an audible “Oops” and a conspicuous empty seat at the annual Axis of Evil Celebrity Poker Tournament last year probably convinced him otherwise.
That’s not a deterrent. That’s the opposite.





20 comments
Bob
May 9, 2005 at 3:45 pm
1Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes. Get a nuke, and we’ll leave you alone. And it’s obvious even to a premium-grade nutcake like Kim Jong Il.
But we can’t teach kids that we’re related to monkeys. On the bright side, with policies like this, it’s getting easier and easier for kids to figure that out on their own.
Steve
May 9, 2005 at 4:34 pm
2Don’t be so quick to brand Kim Jong Il a nutcake.
Those few that have had the dubious pleasure of meeting him seem to feel that some of his “daffiness” is play-acting for the benefit of the Axis of Preemptory Strikes. After all, if you act totally batsh-t crazy, people have a strong tendency to back off. Hence his all out program to get some nukes and get them quickly.
My own personal theory is that George W. may be more crazy than KJI and goes to bed each night with visions of The Rapture and a preemptive nuclear strike dancing in his head.
If we make it through the next 3 years 8 months 13 days 16 hours 28 minutes 21 seconds (as of this writing) without Mr Bush ordering the Strategic Air Command to lob one into Dear Leader’s bathroom, I’ll be surprised.
Landis
May 9, 2005 at 4:51 pm
3Dammit Adam, I’m getting mighty tired of you pointing things out in such a clear way that the continued desire to give the American government the benefit of the doubt cannot be seen as anything but ludicrous.
Do you think I can get my own nuke on eBay? I’m thinking one or two might really come in handy. (Note to NSA and Secret Service: I’m talking about as a deterrent, not for actual use).
Scott
May 9, 2005 at 4:52 pm
4Fuck off.
Steve
May 9, 2005 at 4:59 pm
5Just stumbled on this relevant little tidbit and had to pass it on.
Elliott
May 9, 2005 at 5:03 pm
6I think Scott makes a great point, but he really lacks the justification to back up his point. I hope we can continue this deep philisophical discussion with Scott, it made me see things from a new perspective. Bravo Scott.
Benedict
May 9, 2005 at 5:13 pm
7“And how shall we fuck off, oh Lord?”
-John Cleese, Life Of Brian
Ann
May 9, 2005 at 6:16 pm
8Maybe that was Scott McClellan.
Bob
May 9, 2005 at 7:09 pm
9Kim Jong Il is a nutcake. But even if he weren’t, the Bush administration would still give him a Run-Your-Own-Dictatorship-For-Life pass if he had a nuke. The nutcake element just adds a little frisson of existential terror to the whole thing.
As for George W. Bush, he is not a nutcake (or a nutcake, for that matter). He is an ignoramus with a dangerous penchant for believing his own PR.
And Scott, when Mom finds out you’re posting from her computer again, she’s gonna be pissed.
Pete in Van Diemen's Land
May 9, 2005 at 9:02 pm
10No-one gets Kim JI. No-one. Well, maybe the Team America documentary got close (”I’m So Ronery”).
‘Diplomacy is the art of saying “Nice doggie!” while reaching for a big stick.’ (can’t remember the attribution, sorry). It seems that the Axis Perpendicular To The Axis Of Evil can’t quite lay their hands on a stick.
I know exactly how you feel, Scott - I’ve known a few people with Tourette’s Syndrome, and it’s just so frustrating when a strongly reasoned argument or humorous put down is in your head, but all that comes out is verbal poop. Keep trying, buddy! (Or should I say, Fuck, Shit! Chrysanthemum? Arse.)
Murray
May 9, 2005 at 10:27 pm
11Let’s see if I’ve got this right Adam? Our policy is hypocritical, stupid and counter productive. The administration is using new speak to cover their actions, and don’t have a clue when their ideology leads them down a blind alley.
Oh wait there’s a new thing about the run away bride, gotta go.
David
May 9, 2005 at 10:45 pm
12Scottie Mac,
It’s Cheney off, or go Cheney yourself, or KIJ is a Cheneywad (but a smarter Cheneywad than Saddam was). We try to avoid the f word and any other words Focus on the Family would find offensive.
Mojo
May 10, 2005 at 1:17 am
13What McClellan actually meant was that we have “WMD deterrent capability program related activities”.
jr
May 10, 2005 at 3:42 am
14There seems to be a double standard with our foreign policy
Lynne
May 10, 2005 at 8:04 am
15More good news from the Axis of Evil, buried deep in my paper this morning-a single paragraph:
Iran confirmed for the first time Monday that it converted 37 tons of raw uranium into gas, a key step ahead of enrichment.
Korea can nuke us, Iran is on the way and two soldiers were killed in Afghanistan yesterday. I thought we already won that one. What a fabulous foreign policy we have.
David
May 11, 2005 at 1:16 pm
16Lynne,
Remember Newspeak. Defeat means victory. We are winning everywhere we turn, including the hearts and minds of the entire world. Our policy truly is foreign.
Jim
May 11, 2005 at 4:12 pm
17David,
I thought Focus on the Family was the F-word.
David
May 11, 2005 at 9:02 pm
18Jim,
Indeed it is.
Jean
May 13, 2005 at 8:43 pm
19Benedict, your comment made my day. Thanks.
key
January 21, 2006 at 12:25 pm
20Do you think I can get my own nuke on eBay? I’m thinking one or two might really come in handy. (Note to NSA and Secret Service: I’m talking about as a deterrent, not for actual use).